URC 2025/26 – Round 3 Predictions

Saturday 11 October 2025

16:00 Benetton v Emirates Lions (Stadio Monigo)

Lions 55 %
Sports4Cast Benetton 67%
Rugby365: Benetton by 7
Ou Grote (Rob): Benetton by 5
Ou Grote (James): Benetton by 7
Lions have decent touring strength; Benetton are improving, so this is near toss-up territory but slight lean to Lions.

16:00 Ospreys v Zebre Parma (Dunraven Brewery Field)

Ospreys 80 %
Sports4Cast Ospreys 83%
Rugby365: Zebre by 9
Ou Grote (Rob): Ospreys by 5
Ou Grote (James): Ospreys by 7
Zebre are among weaker sides, especially away from home.
Ospreys expected to dominate, giving a high win probability

18:30 Glasgow Warriors v Dragons (Scotstoun Stadium)

Glasgow 75 %
Sports4Cast Glasgow 93%
Rugby365: Glasgow by 10
Ou Grote (Rob): Glasgow by 11
Ou Grote (James): Glasgow by 10
Glasgow are strong at Scotstoun; Dragons are frequently predicted near bottom of league.
This becomes one of the safer home picks.

18:30 Leinster v Sharks (Aviva, Dublin)

Leinster 65 %
Sports4Cast Leinster 86%
Rugby365: Leinster by 10
Ou Grote (Rob): Sharks by 1
Ou Grote (James): Leinster by 5
Leinster’s quality is high; even if some squad fatigue from travel, Sharks travel is tough.

20:45 Ulster v Vodacom Bulls (Ulster Rugby Stadium)

Bulls 55 %
Sports4Cast Bulls 62%
Rugby365: Bulls by 12
Ou Grote (Rob): Bulls by 7
Ou Grote (James): Bulls by 3
Perfect balance: Bulls are strong, Ulster at home helps them — edges to Bulls but modest margin.

20:45 Cardiff v Connacht (Cardiff Arms Park)

Connacht 60 %
Sports4Cast Cardiff 68%
Rugby365: Cardiff by 6
Ou Grote (Rob): Cardiff by 5
Ou Grote (James): Cardiff by 7
Connacht likely to be more consistent; Cardiff home edge narrows it. Lean Connacht but not huge margin.

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