AI Grote: Munster 65%
Sports4Cast: Munster 83%
Ou Grote (Rob): Munster by 7
Ou Grote (James): Munster by 5
A classic Irish provincial clash; Munster at home tend to be strong — though Connacht are never pushovers.
AI Grote: Ospreys 60%
Sports4Cast: Ospreys 72%
Ou Grote (Rob): Ospreys by 10
Ou Grote (James): Ospreys by 12
Welsh derby is competitive; Ospreys slightly better form lately, hence a lean to them.
AI Grote: Stormers 70%
Sports4Cast: Stormers 58%
Ou Grote (Rob): Stormers by 5
Ou Grote (James): Stormers by 7
Stormers have historically fared well against Benetton (see head-to-head stats) and are more consistent; Benetton’s home advantage reduces but does not overturn that gap.
AI Grote: Leinster 80%
Sports4Cast: Leinster 95%
Ou Grote (Rob): Leinster by 7
Ou Grote (James): Leinster by 9
Leinster are strong favourites against a lower-tier side, hence a high probability.
AI Grote: Sharks 65%
Sports4Cast: Sharks 69%
Ou Grote (Rob): Sharks by 9
Ou Grote (James): Sharks by 7
Sharks at home are usually strong; Scarlets are capable of surprises, but this fixture leans clearly to the home side.
AI Grote: Ulster 55%
Sports4Cast: Lions 60%
Ou Grote (Rob): Ulster by 3
Ou Grote (James): Ulster by 5
Ulster’s consistency and touring experience edge them over Lions, though not by a huge margin.
AI Grote: Glasgow Warriors 60%
Sports4Cast: Glasgow Warriors 66%
Ou Grote (Rob): Glasgow Warriors by 6
Ou Grote (James): Bulls by 1
Rugby365: Glasgow Warriors by 6
Though Bulls are a heavy force, Glasgow’s Scotstoun fortress + home crowd support gives them a moderate edge. Still a tough match — 60/40 feels about right.
Lions 65%
Sports4Cast: Lions 64%
Ou Grote (Rob): Scarlets by 3
Ou Grote (James): Lions by 3
Rugby365: Lions by 2
The Lions on home soil are a strong pick, particularly given Scarlets’ inconsistent touring form.
Sharks 60%
Sports4Cast: Sharks 64%
Ou Grote (Rob): Sharks by 3
Ou Grote (James): Sharks by 5
Rugby365: Sharks by 6
Sharks at Kings Park are dangerous; Ulster may be underdogs on the road.
Leinster 70%
Sports4Cast: Leinster 81%
Ou Grote (Rob): Leinster by 9
Ou Grote (James): Leinster by 8
Rugby365: Leinster by 5
Historic derby, Leinster’s home advantage and historic dominance push them up in probabilities.
Stormers 75%
Sports4Cast: Stormers 80%
Ou Grote (Rob): Stormers by 19
Ou Grote (James): Stormers by 10
Rugby365: Stormers by 16
Stormers expected to win convincingly on the road; Zebre are among weaker sides away.
Glasgow 65%
Sports4Cast: Glasgow 52%
Ou Grote (Rob): Glasgow by 1
Ou Grote (James): Ospreys by 5
Rugby365: Glasgow by 15
Glasgow’s consistency, especially away from Scotland, gives them a healthy edge.
Edinburgh 65%
Sports4Cast: Edinburgh 72%
Ou Grote (Rob): Edinburgh by 9
Ou Grote (James): Edinburgh by 3
Rugby365: Edinburgh by 5
At home in the Hive, Edinburgh get a favourable edge over Benetton, though the Italians can punch above weight occasionally.
Bulls 60%
Sports4Cast: Bulls 57%
Ou Grote (Rob): Bulls by 5
Ou Grote (James): Connacht by 3
Rugby365: Bulls by 7
Though Dexcom is a challenging surface, Bulls’ depth and power tilt it in their favour, giving them a moderate edge.
Cardiff 60%
Sports4Cast: Cardiff 78%
Ou Grote (Rob): Cardiff by 10
Ou Grote (James): Cardiff by 12
Rugby365: Cardiff by 20
Traditional Welsh contest. Cardiff are marginal favourites, especially away from Dragons’ pressure moments.
Munster 70 %
Sports4Cast Munster 78%
Rugby365: Munster by 8
Ou Grote (Rob): Munster by 5
Ou Grote (James): Munster by 10
Munster are historically strong at home and are often favoured in betting previews.
Edinburgh struggle on the road; depth and travel may hamper them.
Stormers 60 %
Sports4Cast Stormers 51%
Rugby365: Stormers by 5
Ou Grote (Rob): Scarlets by 3
Ou Grote (James): Stormers by 3
Stormers carry power from their SA base; away travel is a hurdle but the matchup is winnable.
Scarlets can be dangerous at home, so probability leaned but not overwhelming.
