17 October 2025

20:45 Edinburgh v Benetton (Hive Stadium)

Edinburgh 65%
Sports4Cast: Edinburgh 72%
Ou Grote (Rob): Edinburgh by 9
Ou Grote (James): Edinburgh by 3
Rugby365: Edinburgh by 5
At home in the Hive, Edinburgh get a favourable edge over Benetton, though the Italians can punch above weight occasionally.

20:45 Connacht v Vodacom Bulls (Dexcom Stadium)

Bulls 60%
Sports4Cast: Bulls 57%
Ou Grote (Rob): Bulls by 5
Ou Grote (James): Connacht by 3
Rugby365: Bulls by 7
Though Dexcom is a challenging surface, Bulls’ depth and power tilt it in their favour, giving them a moderate edge.

20:45 Dragons v Cardiff (Rodney Parade)

Cardiff 60%
Sports4Cast: Cardiff 78%
Ou Grote (Rob): Cardiff by 10
Ou Grote (James): Cardiff by 12
Rugby365: Cardiff by 20
Traditional Welsh contest. Cardiff are marginal favourites, especially away from Dragons’ pressure moments.

NEXT

Friday 10 October 2025

20:45 Munster v Edinburgh (Virgin Media Park)

Munster 70 %
Sports4Cast Munster 78%
Rugby365: Munster by 8
Ou Grote (Rob): Munster by 5
Ou Grote (James): Munster by 10
Munster are historically strong at home and are often favoured in betting previews.
Edinburgh struggle on the road; depth and travel may hamper them.

20:45 Scarlets v DHL Stormers (Parc Y Scarlets)

Stormers 60 %
Sports4Cast Stormers 51%
Rugby365: Stormers by 5
Ou Grote (Rob): Scarlets by 3
Ou Grote (James): Stormers by 3
Stormers carry power from their SA base; away travel is a hurdle but the matchup is winnable.
Scarlets can be dangerous at home, so probability leaned but not overwhelming.

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Saturday 11 October 2025

16:00 Benetton v Emirates Lions (Stadio Monigo)

Lions 55 %
Sports4Cast Benetton 67%
Rugby365: Benetton by 7
Ou Grote (Rob): Benetton by 5
Ou Grote (James): Benetton by 7
Lions have decent touring strength; Benetton are improving, so this is near toss-up territory but slight lean to Lions.

16:00 Ospreys v Zebre Parma (Dunraven Brewery Field)

Ospreys 80 %
Sports4Cast Ospreys 83%
Rugby365: Zebre by 9
Ou Grote (Rob): Ospreys by 5
Ou Grote (James): Ospreys by 7
Zebre are among weaker sides, especially away from home.
Ospreys expected to dominate, giving a high win probability

18:30 Glasgow Warriors v Dragons (Scotstoun Stadium)

Glasgow 75 %
Sports4Cast Glasgow 93%
Rugby365: Glasgow by 10
Ou Grote (Rob): Glasgow by 11
Ou Grote (James): Glasgow by 10
Glasgow are strong at Scotstoun; Dragons are frequently predicted near bottom of league.
This becomes one of the safer home picks.

18:30 Leinster v Sharks (Aviva, Dublin)

Leinster 65 %
Sports4Cast Leinster 86%
Rugby365: Leinster by 10
Ou Grote (Rob): Sharks by 1
Ou Grote (James): Leinster by 5
Leinster’s quality is high; even if some squad fatigue from travel, Sharks travel is tough.

20:45 Ulster v Vodacom Bulls (Ulster Rugby Stadium)

Bulls 55 %
Sports4Cast Bulls 62%
Rugby365: Bulls by 12
Ou Grote (Rob): Bulls by 7
Ou Grote (James): Bulls by 3
Perfect balance: Bulls are strong, Ulster at home helps them — edges to Bulls but modest margin.

20:45 Cardiff v Connacht (Cardiff Arms Park)

Connacht 60 %
Sports4Cast Cardiff 68%
Rugby365: Cardiff by 6
Ou Grote (Rob): Cardiff by 5
Ou Grote (James): Cardiff by 7
Connacht likely to be more consistent; Cardiff home edge narrows it. Lean Connacht but not huge margin.

BACK

03 October 2025

19:00 DHL Stormers v Ospreys (DHL Stadium)
Stormers 75%
Sports4Cast Stormers 78%
Home strength in Cape Town + travel; models and early markets lean clearly to Stormers.

21:05 Edinburgh v Ulster (Hive Stadium)
Ulster 55%
Sports4Cast Edinburgh 75%
Edges to Ulster on squad quality, but Hive home factor keeps it tight.

21:05 Dragons v Sharks (Rodney Parade)
Sharks 65%
Sports4Cast Sharks 82%
Sharks rated a tier higher; away trip narrows it but they’re still favoured.

NEXT

04 October 2025

14:45 Connacht v Scarlets (Dexcom Stadium)
Connacht 60%
Sports4Cast Connacht 65%
Galway home advantage + consistency; close, but green-edge.

18:30 Benetton v Glasgow Warriors (Stadio Monigo)
Glasgow 55%
Sports4Cast Glasgow 55%
Glasgow’s overall rating slightly higher; Treviso home form keeps it near coin-flip.

18:30 Vodacom Bulls v Leinster (Loftus Versfeld Stadium)
Bulls 55%
Sports4Cast Bulls 55%
Altitude + Loftus swing gives Bulls a razor-thin edge over the champions.

20:45 Munster v Cardiff (Thomond Park)
Munster 70%
Sports4Cast Munster 82%
Thomond plus depth; community/model consensus has Munster solid favourites.

05 October 2025

Zebre Parma vs Emirates Lions (Stadio Lanfranchi)
Lions 60%
Sports4Cast Lions 59%
Lions’ power game rates better overall; Parma home factor keeps it competitive.

BACK

27 September 2025

14:00 Vodacom Bulls v Ospreys (Loftus Versfeld Stadium)
Bulls win 80%
Sports4Cast: Bulls 85%
Altitude + Loftus fortress; Bulls overwhelming favourites.

16:05 Zebre Parma v Edinburgh (Stadio Lanfranchi)
Edinburgh win 65%
Sports4Cast: Edinburgh 75%
Zebre at home keep it closer, but models still side with Edinburgh.

18:30 Scarlets v Munster (Parc Y Scarlets)
Munster win 65%
Sports4Cast: Munster 49%
Munster have the edge, but Scarlets at home can trouble them.

20:45 Cardiff v Emirates Lions (Cardiff Arms Park)
Cardiff win 55%
Sports4Cast: Cardiff 59%
Bookmakers and predictors see this as one of the tightest games; Cardiff’s surface/home edge just tips it.

20:45 Connacht v Benetton (Dexcom Stadium)
Connacht win 55%
Sports4Cast: Connacht 63%
Another near coin flip; Dexcom Stadium weather/home edge balances Benetton’s rise.

BACK

26 September 2025

19:00 DHL Stormers v Leinster (DHL Stadium)
Leinster win 55%
Sports4Cast: Leinster 64%
Away + injuries drag Leinster down from clear favourite status; basically a coin flip.

21:05 Ulster v Dragons (Ulster Rugby Stadium)
Ulster win 85%
Sports4Cast: Ulster 88%
One of the most lopsided fixtures; community + models firmly on Ulster.

21:05 Glasgow Warriors v Sharks (Scotstoun Stadium)
Glasgow win 60%
Sports4Cast: Glasgow 68%
Glasgow strong at home, but Sharks’ power game means real upset potential.

NEXT

United Rugby Championship 2025/6 Schedule

ROUND 1

26 September 2025
19:00 DHL Stormers v Leinster (DHL Stadium)
21:05 Ulster v Dragons (Ulster Rugby Stadium)
21:05 Glasgow Warriors v Sharks (Scotstoun Stadium)

27 September 2025
14:00 Vodacom Bulls v Ospreys (Loftus Versfeld Stadium)
16:05 Zebre Parma v Edinburgh (Stadio Lanfranchi)
18:30 Scarlets v Munster (Parc Y Scarlets)
20:45 Cardiff v Emirates Lions (Cardiff Arms Park)
20:45 Connacht v Benetton (Dexcom Stadium)

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