22:00 Sale Sharks v Glasgow Warriors (CorpAcq Stadium)
22:00 Bayonne v Stormers (Stade Jean Dauger)
15:00 Saracens v Clermont Auvergne (StoneX Stadium)
17:15 Bulls v Bordeaux-Bègles (Loftus Versfeld)
17:30 La Rochelle v Leicester Tigers (Stade Marcel Deflandre)
19:30 Leinster v Harlequins (TBD)
22:00 Scarlets v Bristol Bears (Parc y Scarlets)
22:00 Bath v Munster (The Rec)
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Head coach Jacques Nienaber has named 13 of the 15 players who started against Ireland in round three, with the only two changes coming at scrum-half, where Cobus Reinach gets the nod ahead of Faf de Klerk, with Duane Vermeulen in place of Jasper Wiese at number eight.
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AI Grote: Edinburgh 60%
Sports4Cast: Cardiff 57%
Ou Grote (Rob): Edinburgh by 3
Ou Grote (James): Cardiff by 5
Edinburgh’s squad depth may give them the tilt, particularly in an away fixture.
AI Grote: Munster 65%
Sports4Cast: Munster 83%
Ou Grote (Rob): Munster by 7
Ou Grote (James): Munster by 5
A classic Irish provincial clash; Munster at home tend to be strong — though Connacht are never pushovers.
AI Grote: Ospreys 60%
Sports4Cast: Ospreys 72%
Ou Grote (Rob): Ospreys by 10
Ou Grote (James): Ospreys by 12
Welsh derby is competitive; Ospreys slightly better form lately, hence a lean to them.
AI Grote: Stormers 70%
Sports4Cast: Stormers 58%
Ou Grote (Rob): Stormers by 5
Ou Grote (James): Stormers by 7
Stormers have historically fared well against Benetton (see head-to-head stats) and are more consistent; Benetton’s home advantage reduces but does not overturn that gap.
AI Grote: Leinster 80%
Sports4Cast: Leinster 95%
Ou Grote (Rob): Leinster by 7
Ou Grote (James): Leinster by 9
Leinster are strong favourites against a lower-tier side, hence a high probability.
AI Grote: Sharks 65%
Sports4Cast: Sharks 69%
Ou Grote (Rob): Sharks by 9
Ou Grote (James): Sharks by 7
Sharks at home are usually strong; Scarlets are capable of surprises, but this fixture leans clearly to the home side.
AI Grote: Ulster 55%
Sports4Cast: Lions 60%
Ou Grote (Rob): Ulster by 3
Ou Grote (James): Ulster by 5
Ulster’s consistency and touring experience edge them over Lions, though not by a huge margin.
AI Grote: Glasgow Warriors 60%
Sports4Cast: Glasgow Warriors 66%
Ou Grote (Rob): Glasgow Warriors by 6
Ou Grote (James): Bulls by 1
Rugby365: Glasgow Warriors by 6
Though Bulls are a heavy force, Glasgow’s Scotstoun fortress + home crowd support gives them a moderate edge. Still a tough match — 60/40 feels about right.
